Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Brandon Lowe

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 32
IN · 2 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupPIT vs DETJustin Verlander
Sample3237.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.0
F 13.8
V 14.1
Model 16.2% Market 20.4% Gap -4.2pp
BetMGM 390 tracking Open board
Total Bases 2.5
P 34.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 34.4% Market 35.7% Gap +15.3pp
FanDuel 320 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +4.4pp
FanDuel 10000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
86
Exit velocity91.1
87
Hard-hit%46.1%
84
xBA0.355
86
xSLG0.655
90
xwOBA0.331
78
BB%9.6%
64
Bat speed70.8
69
K%28.9%
20 -15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.7 · 2B
27
Outs Above Avg15.0 · 2B
98
Range Runs10.8 · 2B
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · 2B
39
Sprint Speed27.0 · 2B
38
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.7%
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.8%
55
Correct Decisions65.9%
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · small sample
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.388
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.327 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.375
RegressionNegative · -0.034
Opposing pitcherJustin Verlander
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)