Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Wyatt Langford

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs MINBailey Ober
Sample1390.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.7
F 15.3
V 13.8
Model 18.0% Market 14.4% Gap +3.1pp
FanDuel 570 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 61.6% Market 76.7% Gap +16.3pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +4.7pp
FanDuel 8000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
56 -28 vs proj
Exit velocity88.9
63
Hard-hit%38.6%
52 -30 vs proj
xBA0.313
43
xSLG0.527
58
xwOBA0.321
69 -18 vs proj
BB%12.1%
88
Bat speed71.0
71
K%22.1%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · LF
48
Arm Strength90.0 · LF
20
Outs Above Avg5.0 · LF
94
Range Runs5.3 · LF
87
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · LF
71
Bolts2.0 · LF
26
SB Success Rate85.7% · LF
66
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
71
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0%
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2%
71
Correct Decisions69.4%
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.319 to 0.396
RegressionNegative · -0.038
Opposing pitcherBailey Ober
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)