The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 713 PA

Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA 0.73 Swing lengthPull rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.0zSprint speed -0.9zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 547 PA 0.71 Oppo rateSwing lengthIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA 0.70 xwOBA on contactBat speedStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA 0.69 Chase rateBat speedSprint speed Walk rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.68 Barrel rateMax exit velocityOppo rate Swing length +1.2zWalk rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.68 Barrel ratePull rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.66 Walk rateBarrel rateBat speed Ground-ball rate -1.7zHard-hit rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 686 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityOppo rateGround-ball rate In-zone contact -1.6zIsolated power +1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 691 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.2zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.64 Barrel rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Walk rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 687 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateWalk rate Max exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 474 PA 0.60 Whiff rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.