The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Eldridge, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats L · 456 PA

Ranked comps for Eldridge, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.77 Oppo rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Barrel rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity -1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z
02 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 589 PA 0.72 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Isolated power +1.2zWalk rate +1.0zPull rate +0.8z
03 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.70 Oppo rateIn-zone contactPull rate Isolated power +1.3zBarrel rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0z
04 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.68 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z
05 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA 0.68 Barrel ratePull rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.2zSwing length -0.9z
06 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 691 PA 0.67 Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
07 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 631 PA 0.66 Swing lengthSprint speedxwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -0.9z
08 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 679 PA 0.65 Barrel rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zBat speed -1.1z
09 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 474 PA 0.64 Whiff ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Oppo rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z
10 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 428 PA 0.62 Swing lengthMax exit velocityBat speed Walk rate -1.5zChase rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z
11 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 487 PA 0.62 Whiff rateStrikeout rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.1z
12 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Hard-hit rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.5zSprint speed +1.4z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.