Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SF · 2026

Eldridge, Bryce

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.313 xwOBA
Range
0.174 to 0.290
Live Δ
yes
Team SF Archetype Impact slugger Age 22 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
92
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
84
Defense1 metrics
43
Speed2 metrics
13
Plate skills10 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.273
xwOBA current pace0.373
xwOBA rolling p500.324
Observed weight51%
xwOBA
0.288 0.305 0.324 0.342 0.359
wOBA
0.341 0.361 0.383 0.404 0.424
ISO
0.116 0.139 0.165 0.191 0.215
K%
20.4% 23.6% 27.2% 30.8% 34.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
83
Exit velocity92.3
93
Hard-hit%53.6%
97 +32 vs proj
xBA0.376
91
xSLG0.702
94
xwOBA0.373
94 +38 vs proj
BB%13.3%
90 +24 vs proj
Bat speed72.4
82
K%25.3%
35
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
43
Range Runs-0.3 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.5 · DH
3
Sprint Speed26.2 · DH
22
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.0% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
48
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
34
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.294 · validated thin sample
19
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399 · validated
4
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Eldridge, Bryce · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.373 2026-07-05: 0.3662026-07-06: 0.3742026-07-07: 0.3702026-07-08: 0.3672026-07-09: 0.3642026-07-10: 0.3642026-07-11: 0.3812026-07-12: 0.3762026-07-13: 0.3722026-07-14: 0.3732026-07-15: 0.3732026-07-16: 0.373 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

63 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Eldridge, Bryce · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 339 CF 399 RF 309 2026-03-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.1 / LA 11.02026-03-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 42.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 54.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 50.0 / LA 28.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · popup · EV 96.1 / LA 66.02026-05-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 77.9 / LA 23.02026-05-09 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 42.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 7.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 2.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 40.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -39.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 10.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 59.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -36.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 10.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 1.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -16.02026-05-18 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 5.02026-05-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA 10.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 59.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 10.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 49.02026-05-20 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 113.4 / LA 19.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 1.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -7.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 8.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 71.8 / LA 24.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 40.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.3 / LA 78.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 36.02026-05-26 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 12.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA -51.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 30.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 38.02026-05-31 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 25.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 8.02026-05-31 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 28.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 67.2 / LA -29.02026-05-31 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 35.02026-05-31 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 23.02026-06-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 15.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 39.02026-06-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.6 / LA 6.02026-06-04 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 68.9 / LA 27.02026-06-04 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 14.02026-06-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 1.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 59.6 / LA -49.02026-06-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 15.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 60.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 47.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 48.02026-06-07 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 23.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -31.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -14.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 74.0 / LA 64.02026-06-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 6.02026-06-26 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -13.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 37.02026-06-30 · field out · FC · popup · EV 91.4 / LA 72.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.1 / LA 72.02026-07-01 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 4.02026-07-01 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Eldridge, Bryce · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 54%54% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.061
wOBA Δ+0.070
Sample225 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances218----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3130.174 to 0.290+/- 0.058
ISO0.1570.042 to 0.231+/- 0.094
Barrel%6.2%1.7% to 7.6%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%42.2%21.5% to 47.7%+/- 13.1%
K%28.5%13.0% to 39.7%+/- 13.3%
BB%9.8%3.7% to 12.4%+/- 4.3%
BABIP0.2770.190 to 0.319+/- 0.064
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

2 career PA

xwOBA0.045
K%5.1%
BB%2.1%
Barrel1.0%
vs RHP

35 career PA

xwOBA0.050
K%4.9%
BB%2.7%
Barrel1.6%