The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Butler, Lawrence in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats L · 547 PA

Ranked comps for Butler, Lawrence

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 516 PA 0.79 Pull rateOppo rateStrikeout rate Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.8zWhiff rate +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 686 PA 0.73 Whiff rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA 0.71 Oppo rateSwing lengthIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 717 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 619 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 455 PA 0.61 Isolated powerBat speedStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.4zBarrel rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.61 Max exit velocitySweet-spot ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.7zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.60 Fly-ball ratePull rateMax exit velocity xwOBA on contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerBat speed Oppo rate -1.9zWalk rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 351 PA 0.59 Strikeout rateWhiff ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.