Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Acuña Jr., Ronald
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team ATL
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
86
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.381 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.369 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.373 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
xwOBA
0.349
0.361
0.373
0.385
0.396
wOBA
0.340
0.353
0.368
0.383
0.397
ISO
0.174
0.186
0.201
0.215
0.228
K%
19.1%
20.2%
21.4%
22.5%
23.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.4%
91
Exit velocity89.8
75
Hard-hit%44.5%
79
-15 vs proj
xBA0.352
84
xSLG0.669
93
xwOBA0.369
96
BB%11.6%
86
Bat speed73.2
90
K%21.9%
55
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.0 · RF
89
Arm Strength100.1 · RF
92
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · RF
2
Range Runs-6.7 · RF
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · RF
44
Bolts1.0 · RF
11
SB Success Rate78.3% · RF
42
Sprint Speed27.2 · RF
44
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.4% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.7% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions69.9% · rebadged research
85
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
16
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.304 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
65
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
32
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
237 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| Sample | 474 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 430 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 19 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.381 | 0.340 to 0.424 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.206 | 0.150 to 0.288 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 8.9% | 6.0% to 10.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 50.2% | 43.7% to 57.5% | +/- 6.9% |
| K% | 21.6% | 16.2% to 25.8% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 12.1% | 10.7% to 15.5% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.331 | 0.292 to 0.366 | +/- 0.037 |
vs LHP
907 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.319 |
| K% | 16.7% |
| BB% | 12.9% |
| Barrel | 6.6% |
vs RHP
2980 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.337 |
| K% | 15.0% |
| BB% | 10.5% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |