Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Acuña Jr.., Ronald
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team ATL
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.381 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.378 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.380 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.351
0.364
0.380
0.395
0.408
wOBA
0.334
0.353
0.374
0.395
0.414
ISO
0.150
0.167
0.187
0.206
0.223
K%
18.3%
19.6%
21.2%
22.7%
24.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.8%
85
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%44.3%
73
-19 vs proj
xBA0.345
74
xSLG0.667
89
xwOBA0.378
96
BB%15.2%
97
Bat speed73.4
91
K%22.1%
51
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · RF
57
Arm Strength97.8 · RF
86
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · RF
4
Range Runs-4.0 · RF
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · RF
63
Bolts1.0 · RF
15
SB Success Rate76.5% · RF
38
Sprint Speed27.3 · RF
48
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.1% · rebadged research
79
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.7% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions71.1% · rebadged research
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
25
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
31
Resists FastballwOBA 0.300 · validated
97
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
24
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
132 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| Sample | 244 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 430 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 19 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.381 | 0.340 to 0.424 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.206 | 0.150 to 0.288 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 8.9% | 6.0% to 10.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 50.2% | 43.7% to 57.5% | +/- 6.9% |
| K% | 21.6% | 16.2% to 25.8% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 12.1% | 10.7% to 15.5% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.331 | 0.292 to 0.366 | +/- 0.037 |
vs LHP
907 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.319 |
| K% | 16.7% |
| BB% | 12.9% |
| Barrel | 6.6% |
vs RHP
2980 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.337 |
| K% | 15.0% |
| BB% | 10.5% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |