The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tawa, Tim in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats R · 362 PA
Ranked comps for Tawa, Tim
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA | 0.83 | Swing lengthWalk ratePull rate | Avg exit velocity +1.3zWhiff rate -0.8zHard-hit rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 445 PA | 0.76 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Swing length +1.4zSprint speed +1.3zBat speed +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA | 0.72 | Walk rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Barrel rate -1.4zSwing length +1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.70 | Whiff rateBat speedChase rate | Hard-hit rate -1.1zPull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.69 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate | Pull rate +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.0zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA | 0.69 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate +1.3zSwing length +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA | 0.68 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateIsolated power | Sprint speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA | 0.67 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power | Chase rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedIsolated powerHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zPull rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedStrikeout rateSwing length | Oppo rate +1.9zBarrel rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.