Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 205 lb |
| Debut | 2025-04-05 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Tim Tawa
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 27
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 225 | 29 | 40 | 7 | 8 | .201 | .274 | .347 | .621 |
| 2026 | 343 | 38 | 71 | 11 | 8 | .233 | .292 | .390 | .682 |
| 2 Seasons | 568 | 67 | 111 | 18 | 16 | .220 | .284 | .373 | .657 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
72
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.315 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.309 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.279
0.293
0.309
0.324
0.338
wOBA
0.310
0.325
0.342
0.359
0.374
ISO
0.130
0.144
0.160
0.176
0.191
K%
21.4%
22.9%
24.4%
26.0%
27.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
80
+20 vs proj
Exit velocity88.5
58
Hard-hit%45.0%
81
+16 vs proj
xBA0.338
73
xSLG0.580
75
xwOBA0.315
63
BB%8.0%
44
Bat speed70.0
55
K%24.3%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · 1B
8
Arm Strength88.9 · 1B
65
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
27
Range Runs1.5 · 1B
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
93
Sprint Speed27.6 · 1B
53
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.8% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
63
Correct Decisions64.1% · rebadged research
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
62
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.314 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380 · validated
12
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
155 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.034 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Tawa’s wOBA sits at 0.342, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.315 — a gap of 0.027, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 362 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L | 0.83 | Swing lengthWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.76 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.73 | Chase rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.72 | Walk rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-12 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 31 | 2026-09-25 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.398 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.308 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ ATL0 HR | 1 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2 K, RBI, R |
| 2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-12 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |