The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 631 PA
Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA | 0.71 | Oppo rateBat speedWalk rate | Hard-hit rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 538 PA | 0.71 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Oppo rate -1.5zPull rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateWalk rate | Barrel rate -1.2zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 716 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Oppo rate +1.4zBat speed -1.1zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 455 PA | 0.69 | Pull rateChase rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 474 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact -1.1zSprint speed +1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.66 | Swing lengthSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.5zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 578 PA | 0.65 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Sprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 679 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Bat speed -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | France, Ty SD · R · 513 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.6zBarrel rate -1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 428 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateWalk rateSwing length | Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.