Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CHC · 2026
Suzuki, Seiya
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CHC
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.328 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.306
0.318
0.332
0.346
0.359
wOBA
0.335
0.351
0.369
0.386
0.402
ISO
0.171
0.186
0.202
0.219
0.234
K%
22.6%
23.8%
25.2%
26.6%
27.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
63
-24 vs proj
Exit velocity89.0
60
Hard-hit%40.6%
57
-29 vs proj
xBA0.354
81
xSLG0.594
75
xwOBA0.328
70
BB%10.2%
69
Bat speed70.7
68
K%25.7%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.3 · RF
96
Arm Strength94.5 · RF
64
Outs Above Avg3.0 · RF
93
Range Runs2.3 · RF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions66.0% · rebadged research
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
80
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
75
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
24
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.388 · validated
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
135 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.018 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| Sample | 343 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 605 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 27 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.346 | 0.292 to 0.383 | +/- 0.045 |
| ISO | 0.212 | 0.147 to 0.284 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 8.4% | 5.6% to 10.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 48.5% | 42.1% to 55.0% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 25.4% | 20.1% to 29.8% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 10.4% | 8.2% to 13.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.314 | 0.269 to 0.365 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
635 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.317 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 11.1% |
| Barrel | 6.8% |
vs RHP
1713 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.288 |
| K% | 22.6% |
| BB% | 8.1% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |