The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Nimmo, Brandon in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 403 PA
Ranked comps for Nimmo, Brandon
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 339 PA | 0.68 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.4zChase rate +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateWalk rate | Barrel rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.0zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Pull rate +1.7zHard-hit rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 293 PA | 0.62 | Oppo rateBat speedGround-ball rate | xwOBA on contact -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 247 PA | 0.61 | Bat speedPull rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zChase rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA | 0.60 | Whiff rateOppo rateSweet-spot rate | xwOBA on contact -1.5zSwing length +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 429 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.1zWalk rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 389 PA | 0.59 | Isolated powerWalk rateWhiff rate | Barrel rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 296 PA | 0.59 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Whiff rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.3zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA | 0.58 | Pull rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | xwOBA on contact -1.5zBarrel rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 425 PA | 0.58 | Chase rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.8zOppo rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.