The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats R · 686 PA
Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 716 PA | 0.74 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateWhiff rate | Barrel rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 547 PA | 0.73 | Whiff rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.0zIsolated power -1.0zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityOppo rateGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.6zIsolated power -1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 474 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateIsolated power | Bat speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityChase rate | In-zone contact +1.4zBat speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA | 0.62 | xwOBA on contactPull rateChase rate | Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.2zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA | 0.62 | Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.7zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactWhiff rateSweet-spot rate | Avg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateSprint speed | In-zone contact +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | House, Brady WSH · R · 364 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 691 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Walk rate +1.8zBat speed +1.2zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.