The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats R · 403 PA

Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Alexander, Blaze BAL · R · 258 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z
02 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.64 Sprint speedBarrel rateIsolated power In-zone contact +2.3zChase rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9z
03 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 439 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratePull rate Fly-ball rate +1.5zBarrel rate +1.5zSwing length +1.1z
04 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA 0.62 Bat speedPull rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0z
05 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.61 Barrel rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Strikeout rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.2z
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA 0.60 Isolated powerStrikeout rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.6zSprint speed +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.2z
07 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 440 PA 0.58 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate In-zone contact +1.9zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.4z
08 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocityStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2z
09 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 277 PA 0.55 Pull rateWhiff rateHard-hit rate Avg exit velocity -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z
10 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.54 Sprint speedWhiff rateHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.6zBat speed +1.4zOppo rate -1.3z
11 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA 0.54 Whiff rateMax exit velocitySwing length Pull rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.4zChase rate -1.2z
12 Laureano, Ramón SD · R · 224 PA 0.54 Walk rateHard-hit ratePull rate Fly-ball rate +1.8zStrikeout rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.