The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats R · 403 PA
Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Alexander, Blaze BAL · R · 258 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedBarrel rateIsolated power | In-zone contact +2.3zChase rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 439 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratePull rate | Fly-ball rate +1.5zBarrel rate +1.5zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedPull rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.6zSprint speed +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 440 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | In-zone contact +1.9zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 277 PA | 0.55 | Pull rateWhiff rateHard-hit rate | Avg exit velocity -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA | 0.54 | Sprint speedWhiff rateHard-hit rate | Isolated power -1.6zBat speed +1.4zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA | 0.54 | Whiff rateMax exit velocitySwing length | Pull rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.4zChase rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Laureano, Ramón SD · R · 224 PA | 0.54 | Walk rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Fly-ball rate +1.8zStrikeout rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.