Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2022-06-04 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Ezequiel Duran
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 27
Club Texas Rangers
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 285 | 26 | 66 | 3 | 1 | .246 | .288 | .321 | .609 |
| 2025 | 219 | 16 | 46 | 0 | 11 | .224 | .266 | .293 | .559 |
| 2026 | 325 | 40 | 80 | 10 | 7 | .270 | .324 | .436 | .760 |
| 5 Seasons | 1488 | 162 | 353 | 32 | 31 | .255 | .302 | .384 | .686 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.283 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.307 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.272
0.284
0.298
0.311
0.323
wOBA
0.322
0.338
0.356
0.373
0.389
ISO
0.136
0.149
0.165
0.180
0.194
K%
19.6%
21.1%
22.7%
24.3%
25.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
49
Exit velocity87.4
41
Hard-hit%37.6%
45
xBA0.343
72
xSLG0.505
48
xwOBA0.307
50
+29 vs proj
BB%7.1%
31
+16 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
K%22.7%
47
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · SS
28
Arm Strength97.7 · SS
99
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
68
Range Runs6.6 · SS
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · SS
68
Bolts12.0 · SS
72
SB Success Rate87.5% · SS
71
Sprint Speed29.0 · SS
90
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.1% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions62.3% · rebadged research
17
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.356 · borderline
0
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.315 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.302 · validated
96
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.396 · validated
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
158 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.078 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Duran’s wOBA sits at 0.356, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.307 — a gap of 0.048, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 339 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peraza, Oswald LAA · R | 0.76 | Chase rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Church, Nathan STL · L | 0.74 | Swing lengthPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.72 | In-zone contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R | 0.72 | Pull rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-07 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.277 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ COL1 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, 3 K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, SB |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, SB |
| 2026-04-12 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, R |