The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Goldschmidt, Paul in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats R · 277 PA
Ranked comps for Goldschmidt, Paul
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA | 0.77 | Swing lengthStrikeout rateGround-ball rate | Avg exit velocity +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | France, Ty SD · R · 249 PA | 0.76 | Bat speedMax exit velocityWhiff rate | Avg exit velocity +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.3zPull rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA | 0.68 | Fly-ball rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1zBat speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 439 PA | 0.67 | Whiff rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Walk rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Pull rate +1.3zSwing length +1.1zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA | 0.63 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Avg exit velocity +1.7zWalk rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA | 0.59 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateSwing length | Avg exit velocity +1.9zHard-hit rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Laureano, Ramón SD · R · 224 PA | 0.58 | Max exit velocityPull rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.9zStrikeout rate +1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Swing length -1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.5zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateBat speed | In-zone contact +2.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA | 0.55 | Walk rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Avg exit velocity +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.