The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 604 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 712 PA 0.76 Oppo rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.75 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.1zOppo rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA 0.70 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateIsolated power Chase rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.1zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.70 Pull rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.4zOppo rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA 0.69 Bat speedChase rateWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +0.8zGround-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 658 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateOppo rateWalk rate Chase rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 486 PA 0.67 Barrel rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Chase rate -1.6zSwing length -1.5zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.67 Sprint speedPull rateWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zAvg exit velocity -1.2zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA 0.67 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate Oppo rate -1.5zPull rate +1.1zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 345 PA 0.67 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Swing length +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 383 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactBat speed Isolated power -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA 0.66 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateSwing length Sprint speed -2.1zChase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.