Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 224 lb |
| Debut | 2025-09-01 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Sal Stewart
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 224 lb · Age 22
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .255 | .293 | .545 | .838 |
| 2026 | 691 | 87 | 163 | 32 | 15 | .265 | .333 | .463 | .796 |
| 2 Seasons | 749 | 98 | 177 | 37 | 15 | .265 | .330 | .469 | .799 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
83
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.288 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.345 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 76% |
xwOBA
0.312
0.321
0.332
0.342
0.351
wOBA
0.349
0.360
0.372
0.384
0.395
ISO
0.169
0.181
0.194
0.207
0.218
K%
20.0%
21.1%
22.4%
23.6%
24.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
89
+19 vs proj
Exit velocity90.5
84
Hard-hit%42.8%
71
xBA0.345
79
xSLG0.628
86
xwOBA0.345
89
+16 vs proj
BB%9.4%
61
+20 vs proj
Bat speed70.1
59
K%22.1%
54
+17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.5 · 1B
20
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
14
Range Runs-1.0 · 1B
42
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.8 · 1B
9
SB Success Rate81.2% · 1B
52
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
28
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.1% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7% · rebadged research
76
Correct Decisions68.0% · rebadged research
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.369 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.306 · validated thin sample
9
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
30
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.047 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stewart’s wOBA sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.345 — a gap of 0.027, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 716 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R | 0.75 | Whiff rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R | 0.74 | Isolated powerStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Arozarena, Randy SEA · R | 0.74 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R | 0.73 | Avg exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-08-06 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 28 | 2026-09-24 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.652 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.326 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs MIA0 HR | 2 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-05-20 @ PHI1 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 4-5 | HR, 2B, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB1 HR | 2 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2B, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R, SB |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF2 HR | 6 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 HR, K, 6 RBI |