The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 440 PA
Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA | 0.75 | Swing lengthPull rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -0.9zGround-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Swing length +1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateWalk rate | In-zone contact -1.6zSwing length +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Turang, Brice MIL · L · 429 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Pull rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.4zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateBat speedChase rate | Ground-ball rate -2.2zWalk rate -1.5zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.60 | In-zone contactIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 403 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | In-zone contact -1.9zWalk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.56 | Avg exit velocityIsolated powerPull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zFly-ball rate +1.4zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA | 0.55 | Swing lengthWhiff rateSweet-spot rate | Isolated power -1.5zSprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 353 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Whiff rate -1.8zWalk rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 222 PA | 0.54 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactOppo rate | Walk rate -1.6zSwing length -1.5zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.