The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats R · 686 PA

Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 716 PA 0.74 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Barrel rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1zSwing length +0.9z
02 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 547 PA 0.73 Whiff rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.0zIsolated power -1.0zBat speed +0.9z
03 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityOppo rateGround-ball rate In-zone contact +1.6zIsolated power -1.1zChase rate -1.0z
04 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 474 PA 0.65 Sprint speedStrikeout rateIsolated power Bat speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.1z
05 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA 0.64 In-zone contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2zWhiff rate +1.0z
06 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.64 Isolated powerMax exit velocityChase rate In-zone contact +1.4zBat speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
07 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactPull rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.2zIn-zone contact +0.9z
08 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA 0.62 Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate In-zone contact +1.7zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
09 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.61 In-zone contactWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Avg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z
10 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA 0.61 Barrel rateFly-ball rateSprint speed In-zone contact +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -0.9z
11 House, Brady WSH · R · 364 PA 0.60 Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zBat speed +1.2z
12 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 691 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSprint speed Walk rate +1.8zBat speed +1.2zOppo rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.