Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026

Canzone, Dominic

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.323 xwOBA
Range
0.276 to 0.351
Live Δ
yes
Team SEA Archetype Impact slugger Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.317
xwOBA current pace0.366
xwOBA rolling p500.337
Observed weight41%
xwOBA
0.307 0.321 0.337 0.353 0.367
wOBA
0.346 0.370 0.396 0.423 0.447
ISO
0.162 0.182 0.206 0.229 0.249
K%
18.0% 20.0% 22.2% 24.5% 26.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.4%
43
Barrel%11.0%
96 +21 vs proj
Bat speed73.0
89
Exit velocity93.2
95
Hard-hit%48.1%
85 +17 vs proj
K%21.4%
52
xBA0.371
86
xSLG0.673
88
xwOBA0.366
86 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF · small sample regression applied
63 Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · DH
24
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.0% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions62.9% · rebadged research
20
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.315 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.250 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.364 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Canzone, Dominic · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3612026-05-19: 0.3562026-05-21: 0.3562026-05-23: 0.3532026-05-24: 0.3452026-05-25: 0.3552026-05-26: 0.3562026-05-28: 0.3562026-05-29: 0.3562026-05-30: 0.3562026-05-31: 0.3522026-06-01: 0.366 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Dominic Canzone's tools (87) outpace production (71) by 16 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Passive In-Zone Approach.

See full optimization →

Passive In-Zone Approach
Pass Attack Pass Attack Attack Attack Pass Attack Pass

Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts

Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Canzone, Dominic · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 23% of plotted batted ballsOppo 23% LF 331 CF 401 RF 326 2026-03-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 23.02026-03-20 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 1.02026-03-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 10.02026-03-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 14.02026-03-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -23.02026-03-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.1 / LA 31.02026-03-20 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.8 / LA -23.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA -14.02026-03-22 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -21.02026-03-22 · triple · KC · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 17.02026-03-23 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -12.02026-03-23 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 22.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 6.02026-03-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 26.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -4.02026-03-26 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 23.02026-03-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 58.02026-03-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · popup · EV 85.3 / LA 68.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 30.02026-03-29 · field out · FC · popup · EV 74.4 / LA 48.02026-03-29 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 52.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 39.02026-04-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 11.02026-04-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 81.9 / LA 15.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.3 / LA 21.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 26.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 76.2 / LA 65.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.2 / LA 66.02026-04-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 31.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 6.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -22.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 37.02026-04-10 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.1 / LA 17.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 48.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 4.02026-04-11 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 13.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 59.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 47.02026-04-14 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -5.02026-04-14 · sac fly · CH · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 21.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 27.02026-04-15 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 27.02026-04-15 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 114.1 / LA 17.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 31.02026-04-17 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 71.8 / LA 20.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 81.4 / LA 76.02026-04-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 21.02026-04-18 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 7.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 3.02026-04-20 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 31.02026-04-20 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 111.8 / LA 17.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 8.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.1 / LA 7.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 30.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -19.02026-04-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -9.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 1.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 3.02026-04-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 10.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -9.02026-04-29 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 108.9 / LA 17.02026-04-29 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 14.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 61.02026-05-02 · double play · CU · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 5.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -6.02026-05-02 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -27.02026-05-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 2.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -11.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 43.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 53.4 / LA -19.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 56.0 / LA -46.02026-05-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 8.02026-05-12 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 25.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -1.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.7 / LA 3.02026-05-12 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 36.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA 0.02026-05-14 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 18.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -27.02026-05-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 24.02026-05-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 16.02026-05-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -2.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 0.02026-05-16 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -12.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 3.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 63.8 / LA 63.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -16.02026-05-20 · double · KC · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 1.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -23.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 51.6 / LA -81.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 42.02026-05-23 · double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -8.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 19.02026-05-24 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 20.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 11.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.9 / LA 2.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -22.02026-05-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 24.02026-05-31 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 26.02026-05-31 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.1 / LA 11.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -12.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Canzone, Dominic · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.043
wOBA Δ+0.073
Sample154 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances379----
Home Runs15----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3230.276 to 0.351+/- 0.037
ISO0.1730.114 to 0.249+/- 0.067
Barrel%7.1%4.8% to 9.7%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%44.4%38.8% to 51.0%+/- 6.1%
K%23.4%18.4% to 31.5%+/- 6.6%
BB%7.3%4.9% to 10.5%+/- 2.8%
BABIP0.2770.209 to 0.334+/- 0.062
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

127 career PA

xwOBA0.215
K%18.4%
BB%6.0%
Barrel4.2%
vs RHP

607 career PA

xwOBA0.241
K%16.4%
BB%4.9%
Barrel6.7%