Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Canzone, Dominic
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team SEA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
91
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.372 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.347 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.320
0.333
0.347
0.361
0.374
wOBA
0.357
0.375
0.395
0.416
0.434
ISO
0.187
0.204
0.223
0.242
0.259
K%
17.9%
19.5%
21.3%
23.2%
24.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.8%
98
+19 vs proj
Exit velocity93.0
96
Hard-hit%47.9%
85
xBA0.359
84
xSLG0.681
92
xwOBA0.372
93
+28 vs proj
BB%8.2%
45
Bat speed72.9
88
K%20.1%
64
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs1.0 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · DH
22
SB Success Rate50.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.5% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.2% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions62.6% · rebadged research
19
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.248 · validated thin sample
98
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.368 · insufficient sample
5
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
68
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.073 |
| Sample | 268 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 379 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 15 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.276 to 0.351 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.173 | 0.114 to 0.249 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 7.1% | 4.8% to 9.7% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.4% | 38.8% to 51.0% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 23.4% | 18.4% to 31.5% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 4.9% to 10.5% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.209 to 0.334 | +/- 0.062 |
vs LHP
127 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.215 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
vs RHP
607 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.241 |
| K% | 16.4% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |