Mithrandir Metrics
KC American League Central Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Kansas City Royals

82.7-79.3 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 80.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.7-79.3
Live pace
63.5
Delta
-19.2
Record 38-59 Run diff -88 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace63.5
Rolling p5070.9
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
62.0 66.2 70.9 75.6 79.9
MOVE -12.1 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.44
October path

Projection odds

Division29.5%
Playoffs47.8%
Pennant6.5%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.09
Bullpen FIP4.44
Run diff5.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPerez, Salvador6033.77
1BPasquantino, Vinnie6104.17
2BMassey, Michael388-0.19
SSWitt Jr.., Bobby63011.94
3BRojas, Josh356-0.19
LFCollins, Isaac4380.58
CFThomas, Lane340-0.30
RFMarte, Starling4180.35
DHLoftin, Nick321-0.82