Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Perez, Salvador
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team KC
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 36
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
52
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.325 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.286 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.300 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.278
0.289
0.300
0.312
0.323
wOBA
0.253
0.267
0.282
0.298
0.312
ISO
0.136
0.149
0.163
0.176
0.189
K%
18.7%
19.8%
21.1%
22.3%
23.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
83
Exit velocity89.5
66
Hard-hit%43.7%
70
xBA0.291
22
xSLG0.497
45
xwOBA0.286
28
-45 vs proj
BB%3.4%
6
Bat speed70.4
61
K%20.1%
64
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.6 · C
23
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
61
Framing Runs-5.5 · C
4
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · C
6
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Range Runs-3.4 · C
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.9 · C
1
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.9% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.1% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions62.9% · rebadged research
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380 · validated
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
200 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.052 |
| Sample | 383 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 603 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 25 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.334 | 0.308 to 0.372 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.192 | 0.133 to 0.251 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 7.6% | 5.6% to 10.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.2% | 39.5% to 51.1% | +/- 5.8% |
| K% | 22.9% | 18.0% to 27.1% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 5.3% | 3.7% to 8.1% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.233 to 0.327 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
1467 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
vs RHP
4048 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 18.9% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |