Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Perez, Salvador
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team KC
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 36
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.325 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.316 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.299
0.308
0.318
0.328
0.337
wOBA
0.282
0.293
0.305
0.318
0.329
ISO
0.148
0.158
0.169
0.180
0.189
K%
18.1%
19.0%
20.0%
21.0%
21.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
88
Exit velocity89.3
69
Hard-hit%43.0%
73
xBA0.315
46
xSLG0.552
67
xwOBA0.316
65
-17 vs proj
BB%4.0%
8
Bat speed70.1
58
K%19.0%
72
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.1 · C
19
Catcher Throwing1.0 · C
70
Framing Runs-6.5 · C
5
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · C
5
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Range Runs-2.4 · C
7
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.2 · DH
7
Sprint Speed23.7 · DH
1
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.2% · rebadged research
9
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions61.3% · rebadged research
12
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.255 · borderline
97
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · insufficient sample
90
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
100
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
60
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.384 · validated
9
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.018 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.028 |
| Sample | 630 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 603 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 25 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.334 | 0.308 to 0.372 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.192 | 0.133 to 0.251 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 7.6% | 5.6% to 10.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.2% | 39.5% to 51.1% | +/- 5.8% |
| K% | 22.9% | 18.0% to 27.1% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 5.3% | 3.7% to 8.1% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.233 to 0.327 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
1467 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
vs RHP
4048 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 18.9% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |