Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / KC · 2026

Pasquantino, Vinnie

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.333 xwOBA
Range
0.318 to 0.376
Live Δ
yes
Team KC Archetype Balanced regular Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
48
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
52
Defense2 metrics
35
Speed2 metrics
21
Plate skills10 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.336
xwOBA current pace0.313
xwOBA rolling p500.323
Observed weight59%
xwOBA
0.300 0.311 0.323 0.335 0.346
wOBA
0.278 0.294 0.312 0.330 0.345
ISO
0.120 0.134 0.148 0.163 0.177
K%
13.9% 15.0% 16.3% 17.5% 18.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
52 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity88.7
56
Hard-hit%38.9%
49 -25 vs proj
xBA0.306
31
xSLG0.487
41
xwOBA0.313
57 -16 vs proj
BB%10.6%
73 +30 vs proj
Bat speed68.3
32
K%17.0%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-0.5 · 1B
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · 1B
30
Sprint Speed25.7 · 1B
13
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
67
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.246 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
16
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
21
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
90
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Pasquantino, Vinnie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.313 2026-07-05: 0.3162026-07-06: 0.3162026-07-07: 0.3162026-07-08: 0.3162026-07-09: 0.3162026-07-10: 0.3162026-07-11: 0.3162026-07-12: 0.3162026-07-13: 0.3162026-07-14: 0.3142026-07-15: 0.3142026-07-16: 0.313 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

184 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Pasquantino, Vinnie · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 24% of plotted batted ballsOppo 24% LF 330 CF 410 RF 330 2026-03-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 64.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -11.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 3.02026-03-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 8.02026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -5.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 88.6 / LA 22.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.2 / LA -57.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA -24.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.3 / LA 70.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 35.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 1.02026-03-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -6.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 88.6 / LA 8.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.9 / LA 66.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 22.02026-03-28 · fielders choice · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.7 / LA -3.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 45.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -54.02026-03-29 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 81.2 / LA 11.02026-03-29 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 12.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.7 / LA 55.02026-04-01 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 18.02026-04-01 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.4 / LA -10.02026-04-02 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 60.02026-04-02 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 53.02026-04-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 10.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -15.02026-04-04 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -12.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.5 / LA 54.02026-04-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 77.0 / LA 24.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 49.02026-04-04 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -16.02026-04-04 · field out · CU · popup · EV 74.2 / LA 55.02026-04-05 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 11.02026-04-05 · field out · SV · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 49.02026-04-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.2 / LA 18.02026-04-05 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 29.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · popup · EV 76.7 / LA 74.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 38.2 / LA -11.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -15.02026-04-07 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 18.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 37.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 54.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA -2.02026-04-09 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 2.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -24.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 17.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -9.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 56.02026-04-11 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 42.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 2.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 34.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 57.02026-04-14 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 49.5 / LA -26.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 31.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.0 / LA -3.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -15.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.2 / LA 69.02026-04-15 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 28.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 29.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 27.02026-04-16 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 21.02026-04-16 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 21.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 3.02026-04-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 12.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -18.02026-04-17 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 33.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 28.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 98.8 / LA 62.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 45.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -40.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -24.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -72.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -15.02026-04-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 36.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.7 / LA 63.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 7.02026-04-21 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 48.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 47.02026-04-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 24.02026-04-22 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 13.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.0 / LA 78.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.1 / LA -3.02026-04-25 · field out · FA · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -14.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 55.3 / LA -49.02026-04-26 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 92.2 / LA 23.02026-04-26 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 21.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.6 / LA 60.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -36.02026-04-28 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 59.9 / LA 23.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 15.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.4 / LA 65.02026-05-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 28.02026-05-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 2.02026-05-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 9.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 27.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 12.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 34.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 23.02026-05-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 9.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 52.02026-05-04 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 25.02026-05-04 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 9.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 41.02026-05-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -19.02026-05-05 · field out · ST · popup · EV 65.9 / LA 76.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.7 / LA 65.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 34.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 34.02026-05-06 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -5.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 9.02026-05-07 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 27.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 40.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA -3.02026-05-08 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 21.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 42.02026-05-08 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -6.02026-05-09 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 9.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA 7.02026-05-09 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 5.02026-05-10 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -1.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -28.02026-05-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 13.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 48.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 70.5 / LA 80.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -5.02026-05-12 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 8.02026-05-12 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -5.02026-05-13 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -9.02026-05-13 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 71.1 / LA 37.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · popup · EV 70.0 / LA 40.02026-05-14 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 31.02026-05-14 · field out · FC · popup · EV 71.3 / LA 76.02026-05-14 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 53.02026-05-15 · field out · FS · popup · EV 71.1 / LA 55.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -8.02026-05-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 48.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -57.02026-05-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.0 / LA 20.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 21.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 78.9 / LA 88.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 57.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.6 / LA 68.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 19.02026-05-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 8.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 9.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 15.02026-05-23 · fielders choice · KC · ground_ball · EV 78.8 / LA -19.02026-05-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 32.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 46.02026-05-24 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -12.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -21.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · popup · EV 87.2 / LA 79.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -12.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 39.02026-05-25 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 22.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 22.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -6.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.0 / LA -6.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 27.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · popup · EV 62.3 / LA 44.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 70.0 / LA 75.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 73.5 / LA -70.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 57.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 29.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 34.02026-06-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 9.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 26.02026-06-01 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 15.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · popup · EV 65.1 / LA 61.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -19.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 15.02026-06-04 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 0.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 18.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 50.02026-06-05 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 16.02026-06-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 15.02026-06-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 10.02026-06-07 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 26.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Pasquantino, Vinnie · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.7 mph Hard swing rate 4% Whiff / swing 18% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Pasquantino, Vinnie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 14%14%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 86%86%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.291 vs 0.248 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.019
wOBA Δ-0.021
Sample311 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances610----
Home Runs23----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3330.318 to 0.376+/- 0.029
ISO0.1850.146 to 0.265+/- 0.060
Barrel%6.4%4.4% to 8.4%+/- 2.0%
Hard-Hit%44.6%40.7% to 51.5%+/- 5.4%
K%15.4%11.6% to 20.2%+/- 4.3%
BB%8.0%5.6% to 11.5%+/- 2.9%
BABIP0.2690.238 to 0.313+/- 0.038
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

438 career PA

xwOBA0.248
K%16.1%
BB%5.2%
Barrel4.0%
vs RHP

1462 career PA

xwOBA0.291
K%11.3%
BB%6.8%
Barrel6.4%