Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Witt Jr.., Bobby
Impact bat with above-average thump
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
94
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.366 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.389 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.381 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.355
0.367
0.381
0.395
0.407
wOBA
0.347
0.361
0.377
0.393
0.408
ISO
0.165
0.178
0.192
0.207
0.219
K%
15.6%
16.5%
17.6%
18.7%
19.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.7%
89
Exit velocity93.2
96
Hard-hit%53.9%
97
xBA0.386
95
xSLG0.647
86
xwOBA0.389
98
BB%9.4%
61
+27 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
79
K%17.7%
76
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
80
Arm Strength94.0 · SS
92
Outs Above Avg18.0 · SS
100
Range Runs13.1 · SS
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.4 · SS
98
Bolts69.0 · SS
99
SB Success Rate89.3% · SS
76
Sprint Speed30.2 · SS
99
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
33
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
38
Correct Decisions63.3% · rebadged research
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.312 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.330 · validated thin sample
1
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
17
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
211 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| Sample | 413 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 630 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 25 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.380 | 0.326 to 0.422 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.208 | 0.167 to 0.295 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 8.7% | 6.8% to 11.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.6% | 41.3% to 54.3% | +/- 6.5% |
| K% | 16.9% | 14.7% to 22.3% | +/- 3.8% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 5.8% to 10.3% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.323 | 0.293 to 0.370 | +/- 0.038 |
vs LHP
606 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.326 |
| K% | 15.2% |
| BB% | 6.5% |
| Barrel | 7.6% |
vs RHP
2243 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.331 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 8.7% |