Ferrer, Jose A.
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.69 |
| ERA current pace | 1.80 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.04 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 64.3% | 241 | 111 | qualified |
| CH | 19.5% | 73 | 94 | limited sample |
| SL | 16.0% | 60 | 98 | limited sample |
| FB | 0.3% | 1 | 117 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -1.94 |
| K% Δ | -0.003 |
| Sample | 28.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 39.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 166 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.5% | 17.2% to 31.7% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 3.4% to 10.8% | +/- 3.7% |
| Whiff% | 23.9% | 19.2% to 29.9% | +/- 5.3% |
| HR/9 | 0.97 | 0.39 to 1.65 | +/- 0.63 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.282 | 0.239 to 0.340 | +/- 0.050 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 6.1% | 2.3% to 9.2% | +/- 3.4% |
| ERA | 3.74 | 2.16 to 6.91 | +/- 2.38 |
| FIP | 3.09 | 2.08 to 4.83 | +/- 1.37 |
| WHIP | 1.224 | 0.964 to 1.698 | +/- 0.367 |
222 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.249 |
| K% | 22.0% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
390 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |