Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / KC · 2026

Cuas, Jose

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
24.0% K%
Range
17.3% to 33.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team KC Archetype Volatile contact Age 32 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
34
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
47
Arsenal4 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.96
ERA current pace2.42
ERA rolling p503.47
Observed weight32%
ERA
1.54 2.46 3.47 4.48 5.39
FIP
1.74 2.71 3.78 4.85 5.82
K%
17.7% 20.3% 23.3% 26.3% 29.0%
BB%
7.7% 9.2% 10.8% 12.3% 13.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.71
6
ERA2.42
92
BB%13.4%
9 -34 vs proj
K%22.3%
51
xwOBA allowed0.352
13 -52 vs proj
Barrel allowed2.8%
98 +57 vs proj
Fastball velo91.9
15
Hard-hit allowed35.2%
75
Whiff%24.9%
66
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+94
10
Mithrandir Stuff+101
42
Sinker Stuff+106
80
Slider Stuff+97
18
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 36%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

10 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cuas, Jose · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.352 2026-09-18: 0.3382026-09-19: 0.3382026-09-20: 0.3382026-09-21: 0.3342026-09-22: 0.3342026-09-23: 0.3342026-09-24: 0.3342026-09-25: 0.3342026-09-26: 0.3412026-09-27: 0.352 2026-09-18 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cuas, Jose · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 41%41%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cuas, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 35.7%4-Seam Fastball: 32.8%Sweeper: 25.8%Cutter: 4.7%Changeup: 1.0% SI36% · 92 mphprimary pitch SI 36%FF 33%ST 26%FC 5%CH 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cuas, Jose · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 36% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 92.0 mphSI92 mph4-Seam Fastball: 33% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 91.8 mphFF92 mphSweeper: 26% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 82.8 mphST83 mphCutter: 5% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 88.1 mphFC88 mphChangeup: 1% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 86.2 mphCH86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 41.4% 106 106 limited sample
SL 28.1% 72 97 limited sample
FB 26.6% 68 94 limited sample
FC 3.5% 9 94 limited sample
CH 0.4% 1 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sweeper 41%, 4-Seam Fastball 29%, Sinker 24%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.83
K% Δ-0.016
Sample24.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings30.6----
Batters Faced141----
K%24.0%17.3% to 33.3%+/- 8.0%
BB%9.6%6.3% to 14.3%+/- 4.0%
Whiff%25.7%18.5% to 32.9%+/- 7.2%
HR/91.300.11 to 2.30+/- 1.09
xwOBA Against0.3020.232 to 0.354+/- 0.061
Barrel% Allowed7.9%3.2% to 13.7%+/- 5.2%
ERA4.251.70 to 6.81+/- 2.56
FIP4.082.11 to 7.53+/- 2.71
WHIP1.2901.038 to 1.786+/- 0.374
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

226 career BF

xwOBA0.291
K%21.3%
BB%11.2%
Barrel9.9%
vs RHH

378 career BF

xwOBA0.273
K%21.3%
BB%8.1%
Barrel8.8%