Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.67 |
| ERA current pace | 4.86 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.24 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 41.6% | 212 | 106 | qualified |
| SL | 36.3% | 185 | 101 | limited sample |
| CB | 22.2% | 113 | 101 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.13 |
| K% Δ | +0.031 |
| Sample | 51.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 37.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 154 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.3% | 17.2% to 31.8% | +/- 7.3% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.0% to 12.2% | +/- 3.6% |
| Whiff% | 23.1% | 18.5% to 28.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.08 | 0.48 to 1.94 | +/- 0.73 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.292 | 0.241 to 0.339 | +/- 0.049 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.0% | 4.3% to 11.7% | +/- 3.7% |
| ERA | 3.73 | 2.21 to 6.23 | +/- 2.01 |
| FIP | 3.68 | 2.82 to 4.52 | +/- 0.85 |
| WHIP | 1.212 | 0.923 to 1.510 | +/- 0.294 |
| xwOBA | 0.236 |
| K% | 25.3% |
| BB% | 6.6% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 21.3% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
