The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Machado, Manny in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 401 PA

Ranked comps for Machado, Manny

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.85 Chase rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.1zSwing length -1.0zSprint speed +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.78 Ground-ball rateFly-ball ratePull rate Swing length -1.1zBat speed -1.1zHard-hit rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.77 Chase rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 341 PA 0.70 Walk ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate In-zone contact +1.6zSprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 439 PA 0.69 Walk rateHard-hit rateWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 277 PA 0.68 Fly-ball rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.1zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.4zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA 0.66 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateOppo rate Walk rate -2.1zChase rate +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +1.7zWalk rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.7zWhiff rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityChase rateIsolated power In-zone contact -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Oppo rate -1.3zPull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.