The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Machado, Manny in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 681 PA

Ranked comps for Machado, Manny

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.81 Barrel rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.3zSwing length -1.1zWhiff rate +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 642 PA 0.77 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateChase rate Walk rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.0zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA 0.71 Bat speedGround-ball ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zIn-zone contact +0.9zWalk rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.71 Walk rateIsolated powerChase rate In-zone contact +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA 0.70 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.69 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.68 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Swing length -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.66 Barrel rateBat speedWalk rate Sprint speed +1.4zOppo rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityIsolated powerWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Swing length -1.4zWalk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateIsolated power In-zone contact -1.4zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 716 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateStrikeout rate Pull rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.