The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tovar, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 360 PA

Ranked comps for Tovar, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 203 PA 0.78 Sprint speedGround-ball rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.0zChase rate -0.8zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA 0.67 Bat speedWalk rateSwing length Chase rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.62 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Chase rate -1.6zHard-hit rate +1.6zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 390 PA 0.58 Walk rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA 0.57 Swing lengthOppo rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -2.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA 0.57 Bat speedBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA 0.56 Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rateBarrel rate Chase rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Max exit velocity +1.7zPull rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 436 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateWalk rate Chase rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 275 PA 0.55 Bat speedBarrel rateSprint speed Chase rate -1.9zPull rate +1.6zOppo rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 294 PA 0.54 Pull rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.2zGround-ball rate +2.0zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Church, Nathan STL · L · 270 PA 0.54 Walk rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -2.4zGround-ball rate +1.8zSwing length -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.