The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tovar, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 519 PA

Ranked comps for Tovar, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 357 PA 0.69 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity In-zone contact -1.8zChase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA 0.66 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit ratePull rate Oppo rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.64 Isolated powerBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 712 PA 0.59 Bat speedIsolated powerPull rate Chase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA 0.58 Sweet-spot rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.4zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 672 PA 0.56 Walk rateBat speedOppo rate Pull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.56 Swing lengthGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Pull rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.5zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.55 Sprint speedIn-zone contactBarrel rate Pull rate +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.6zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA 0.54 Sprint speedBat speedWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zChase rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Church, Nathan STL · L · 480 PA 0.54 Walk rateMax exit velocitySprint speed Fly-ball rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 445 PA 0.53 Pull rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA 0.53 In-zone contactBarrel rateSwing length Pull rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.