Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Lile, Daylen
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.343 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.316 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.325 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.313
0.325
0.337
0.348
wOBA
0.301
0.315
0.331
0.346
0.360
ISO
0.140
0.153
0.168
0.183
0.197
K%
15.5%
16.5%
17.6%
18.7%
19.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
59
Exit velocity88.0
48
Hard-hit%35.6%
33
-18 vs proj
xBA0.317
45
xSLG0.513
51
xwOBA0.316
59
-17 vs proj
BB%5.9%
19
Bat speed69.3
44
K%17.4%
77
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.5 · LF
91
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
12
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
90
Range Runs2.2 · LF
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · LF
42
Bolts21.0 · LF
80
SB Success Rate60.0% · LF
11
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
93
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.8% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
33
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.405 · validated
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
236 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| Sample | 426 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 378 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.338 | 0.292 to 0.367 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.190 | 0.128 to 0.273 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 2.1% to 6.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.4% | 29.4% to 46.6% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 15.6% | 12.4% to 20.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 4.4% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.313 | 0.279 to 0.373 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
79 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 11.0% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |
vs RHP
280 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.219 |
| K% | 8.9% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |