The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Castro, Willi in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 341 PA

Ranked comps for Castro, Willi

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.73 Walk rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Oppo rate +1.0zPull rate -1.0zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 O'Hoppe, Logan LAA · R · 249 PA 0.70 Whiff rateMax exit velocityWalk rate In-zone contact +1.2zBarrel rate +1.0zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.68 Isolated powerBat speedChase rate Max exit velocity -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.66 In-zone contactPull rateSweet-spot rate Swing length +1.7zBarrel rate +1.6zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 203 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.5zWalk rate -1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA 0.65 Whiff ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.1zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.65 Walk rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 275 PA 0.64 Isolated powerWalk ratePull rate Max exit velocity -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 231 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate Sprint speed -2.0zChase rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA 0.63 Oppo rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.6zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateSprint speedBat speed Max exit velocity -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 217 PA 0.59 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityPull rate Strikeout rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.