The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Turner, Trea in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats R · 436 PA
Ranked comps for Turner, Trea
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA | 0.74 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Pull rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.3zOppo rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityChase rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA | 0.69 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Swing length -1.4zIsolated power +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 294 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 304 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Avg exit velocity -1.8zWalk rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 304 PA | 0.63 | Walk rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.5zSwing length -1.5zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Vierling, Matt DET · R · 281 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateBat speedPull rate | Whiff rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 390 PA | 0.62 | Walk rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Isolated power +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 217 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Pull rate +2.2zOppo rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate -1.5zPull rate +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA | 0.58 | Walk rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Pull rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.