Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 204 lb |
| Debut | 2026-06-09 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Cole Carrigg
CF · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 204 lb · Age 24
Club Colorado Rockies
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 363 | 47 | 89 | 11 | 11 | .275 | .338 | .466 | .804 |
| 1 Seasons | 363 | 47 | 89 | 11 | 11 | .275 | .338 | .466 | .804 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
55
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.268 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.314 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.273
0.297
0.320
0.341
wOBA
0.328
0.344
0.360
0.377
0.392
ISO
0.124
0.142
0.162
0.182
0.200
K%
17.3%
19.9%
22.8%
25.6%
28.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
42
Exit velocity87.0
41
Hard-hit%37.5%
46
xBA0.338
73
xSLG0.546
65
xwOBA0.314
61
+26 vs proj
BB%7.8%
42
Bat speed70.5
65
K%23.5%
48
+19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · CF
80
Arm Strength101.2 · CF
96
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Range Runs-1.6 · CF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.0 · CF
79
Bolts7.0 · CF
54
SB Success Rate76.9% · CF
39
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
84
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.2% · rebadged research
24
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions64.9% · rebadged research
37
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
29
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
114 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.070 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Carrigg’s wOBA sits at 0.360, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.314 — a gap of 0.047, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 371 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peña, Jeremy HOU · R | 0.77 | Isolated powerMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.76 | Strikeout ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.73 | Pull rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.72 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 27 | 2026-09-25 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.233 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ SF0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |