Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Crews, Dylan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.320 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.295
0.307
0.320
0.333
0.344
wOBA
0.278
0.291
0.306
0.321
0.334
ISO
0.119
0.133
0.148
0.163
0.176
K%
21.2%
22.2%
23.3%
24.5%
25.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
72
Exit velocity89.7
74
Hard-hit%42.6%
71
xBA0.328
61
xSLG0.572
73
xwOBA0.320
69
BB%6.7%
30
Bat speed71.9
79
K%24.3%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
51
Arm Strength93.4 · RF
49
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs3.8 · RF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.4 · RF
89
Bolts8.0 · RF
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
93
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
93
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
42
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
168 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.018 |
| Sample | 445 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 388 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.325 | 0.285 to 0.377 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.153 | 0.075 to 0.222 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 2.7% to 8.0% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.4% | 34.8% to 49.5% | +/- 7.4% |
| K% | 22.5% | 19.8% to 27.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.4% to 10.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.241 to 0.326 | +/- 0.042 |
vs LHP
128 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.211 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
359 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |