Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Crews, Dylan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.291 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.315 |
| Observed weight | 19% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.293
0.315
0.336
0.355
wOBA
0.192
0.229
0.271
0.313
0.350
ISO
0.072
0.101
0.132
0.164
0.193
K%
18.3%
19.9%
21.8%
23.6%
25.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%3.8%
7
-32 vs proj
Barrel%3.8%
32
-26 vs proj
Bat speed71.5
76
Exit velocity90.3
76
Hard-hit%37.8%
41
K%23.1%
42
xBA0.295
27
xSLG0.469
36
xwOBA0.291
33
-31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
Limited
Range Runs0.1 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
37
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
95
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.6% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.8% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions60.2% · rebadged research
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.033 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.054 |
| Sample | 52 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 388 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.325 | 0.285 to 0.377 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.153 | 0.075 to 0.222 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 2.7% to 8.0% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.4% | 34.8% to 49.5% | +/- 7.4% |
| K% | 22.5% | 19.8% to 27.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.4% to 10.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.241 to 0.326 | +/- 0.042 |
vs LHP
128 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.211 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
359 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |