Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Ceddanne Rafaela

CF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
xwOBA preseason0.303
xwOBA current pace0.298
xwOBA rolling p500.301
Observed weight52%
xwOBA
0.274 0.287 0.301 0.314 0.327
wOBA
0.372 0.392 0.414 0.435 0.455
ISO
0.124 0.140 0.158 0.176 0.192
K%
18.7% 20.2% 21.7% 23.3% 24.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.8%
27
Barrel%5.1%
51
Bat speed67.4
24
Exit velocity88.1
45
Hard-hit%40.9%
53
K%21.4%
54
xBA0.312
38
xSLG0.474
38
xwOBA0.298
38
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · CF
26
Arm Strength97.3 · CF
86
Outs Above Avg6.0 · CF
98
Range Runs8.0 · CF
98
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · CF
29
Bolts3.0 · CF
43
SB Success Rate50.0% · CF
5
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
91
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.9% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
57
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.307 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
27
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
47
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Rafaela, Ceddanne · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3042026-05-21: 0.3022026-05-23: 0.3052026-05-24: 0.3082026-05-25: 0.3112026-05-26: 0.3112026-05-28: 0.3122026-05-29: 0.3122026-05-30: 0.3052026-05-31: 0.3002026-06-01: 0.2982026-06-02: 0.298 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Rafaela, Ceddanne · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 35%35%Whiff: 23%23%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 77%77%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Rafaela, Ceddanne · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 32.2° Length 7.3 ft Ideal path 68% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Rafaela, Ceddanne · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 11.3° Direction +0.4° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Rafaela, Ceddanne · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.5 mph Hard swing rate 5% Whiff / swing 27% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height5' 10"
Weight165 lb
Debut2023-08-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.003
wOBA Δ+0.118

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-04-26Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.296 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, K, R
2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2 RBI, R
2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K, CS
2026-04-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, HBP, K
2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4