The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

LAA · bats L · 357 PA

Ranked comps for Lowe, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 519 PA 0.69 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity In-zone contact +1.8zChase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 387 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.5zChase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA 0.65 Oppo rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate In-zone contact +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.3zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 445 PA 0.60 xwOBA on contactWalk rateWhiff rate In-zone contact +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA 0.59 Bat speedWhiff rateSprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 510 PA 0.59 Isolated powerHard-hit ratePull rate In-zone contact +2.0zChase rate -1.6zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.59 Sprint speedIsolated powerBat speed In-zone contact +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.6zPull rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.58 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed -2.0zStrikeout rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactWalk rateWhiff rate Swing length +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.4zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 711 PA 0.57 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateSprint speed In-zone contact +1.9zPull rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityWalk rate Swing length +2.0zIn-zone contact +1.8zPull rate +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.56 Sprint speedSwing lengthStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.