The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

LAA · bats L · 203 PA

Ranked comps for Lowe, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 360 PA 0.78 Sprint speedGround-ball rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.0zChase rate +0.8zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA 0.68 Bat speedWalk rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed -1.7zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull rateSprint speed Chase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity +1.5zWalk rate +1.1zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.63 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.7zHard-hit rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA 0.63 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Swing length +1.7zChase rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 275 PA 0.62 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Walk rate +1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.61 Oppo rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Hard-hit rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocitySwing length Strikeout rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.60 Barrel rateOppo rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA 0.59 Swing lengthMax exit velocityBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.6zChase rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.57 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Chase rate -1.4zSwing length +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.