The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 629 PA

Ranked comps for Burger, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 428 PA 0.73 Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA 0.73 Swing lengthStrikeout rateOppo rate Sprint speed +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.72 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateIsolated power Sprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0zIn-zone contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA 0.71 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateSwing length Sprint speed -2.0zSweet-spot rate +0.8zWhiff rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA 0.70 Bat speedBarrel rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.70 Oppo rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity -1.2zBarrel rate -1.0zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 679 PA 0.68 Swing lengthIn-zone contactBat speed Sprint speed +1.7zWhiff rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length Avg exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.0zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 572 PA 0.66 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Sprint speed +1.4zPull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.65 Sprint speedBarrel rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.2zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateOppo rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.