The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alvarez, Francisco in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats R · 428 PA

Ranked comps for Alvarez, Francisco

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA 0.74 Avg exit velocityBat speedFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.2zPull rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 629 PA 0.73 Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.72 Swing lengthStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Barrel rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +0.9zxwOBA on contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityWalk rate Sprint speed +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA 0.65 Chase rateStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 631 PA 0.64 Barrel rateWalk rateSwing length Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 538 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateBat speedBarrel rate Strikeout rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.2zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.63 Chase ratePull rateFly-ball rate xwOBA on contact -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.62 Swing lengthMax exit velocityBat speed Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 445 PA 0.62 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Swing length -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityIsolated power Sprint speed +2.2zOppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.60 Walk rateFly-ball rateBat speed Swing length +1.6zPull rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.