The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 249 PA

Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Matthews, Brice HOU · R · 241 PA 0.67 In-zone contactHard-hit ratePull rate Fly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.60 Isolated powerPull rateBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +1.7zOppo rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA 0.59 Oppo rateWhiff rateIsolated power Fly-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.58 Swing lengthBarrel rateMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity +1.6zWalk rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.57 Bat speedOppo rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.5zChase rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 416 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Isolated power +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.55 Sprint speedBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 297 PA 0.55 Isolated powerBat speedSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.8zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA 0.54 Fly-ball rateSprint speedGround-ball rate Avg exit velocity +1.5zPull rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.52 Pull rateHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 379 PA 0.52 Bat speedIn-zone contactChase rate Pull rate +2.6zAvg exit velocity +1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA 0.52 Pull rateMax exit velocityBat speed Avg exit velocity +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.