The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Jarren in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 631 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Jarren

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 445 PA 0.78 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSwing length Pull rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 664 PA 0.77 Walk rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Pull rate -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 345 PA 0.75 Bat speedxwOBA on contactSwing length Ground-ball rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 572 PA 0.74 Max exit velocityWalk rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 629 PA 0.73 Swing lengthStrikeout rateOppo rate Sprint speed -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 671 PA 0.72 Barrel rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Oppo rate +1.1zBat speed +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Walk rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA 0.67 Swing lengthIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.7zIsolated power +0.9zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.66 Bat speedGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Whiff rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.0zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.65 Walk rateBarrel rateIsolated power Whiff rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA 0.64 Bat speedWhiff rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zSwing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.