The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Jarren in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 399 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Jarren

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 261 PA 0.79 Pull ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Ground-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -0.8zOppo rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.78 xwOBA on contactWalk rateBat speed Sprint speed -1.4zHard-hit rate +0.9zIsolated power +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 374 PA 0.70 Max exit velocitySprint speedIn-zone contact Oppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 392 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityWalk rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.65 Swing lengthBarrel rateStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.63 Oppo rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.62 In-zone contactBat speedxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.0zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.62 Pull ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Max exit velocity -1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA 0.60 Walk rateGround-ball rateBat speed Whiff rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 249 PA 0.59 Oppo rateWhiff rateIsolated power Fly-ball rate +1.5zWalk rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateSprint speed Swing length -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.