The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carroll, Corbin in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 413 PA
Ranked comps for Carroll, Corbin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 379 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity | Bat speed -1.1zIsolated power -1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA | 0.67 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zPull rate -1.2zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateStrikeout rate | Bat speed -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA | 0.61 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateSwing length | Sprint speed -1.8zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateOppo rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.8zWalk rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 260 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactChase ratePull rate | Strikeout rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zGround-ball rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.56 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zSprint speed -1.8zPull rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.54 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA | 0.52 | Max exit velocityChase rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA | 0.51 | Barrel rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact | Pull rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.4zWalk rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.