Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Samuel Basallo

C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 4", 250 lb · Age 22

Cards
11
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Baltimore Orioles Position C Roster Current MLB team Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025118101840.165.229.330.559
20263994080180.222.291.406.697
2 Seasons5175098220.209.277.388.665
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
79
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
70
Defense6 metrics
64
Speed1 metrics
3
Plate skills10 metrics
37
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.295
xwOBA current pace0.318
xwOBA rolling p500.310
Observed weight65%
xwOBA
0.281 0.295 0.310 0.326 0.340
wOBA
0.305 0.319 0.334 0.350 0.364
ISO
0.162 0.177 0.193 0.210 0.225
K%
22.5% 24.1% 25.9% 27.7% 29.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.2%
89 +17 vs proj
Exit velocity90.6
85
Hard-hit%44.0%
78 +17 vs proj
xBA0.332
67
xSLG0.623
85
xwOBA0.318
68
BB%8.2%
48
Bat speed72.2
81
K%26.5%
30
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.0 · C
80
Catcher Throwing1.4 · C
75
Framing Runs-5.8 · C
7
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
68
Pop Time1.9 · C
70
Range Runs0.1 · C
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.7 · C
3
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.9% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.5% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions62.1% · rebadged research
16
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
89
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.374 · insufficient sample
2
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
13
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Basallo, Samuel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.318 2026-09-13: 0.3232026-09-14: 0.3212026-09-18: 0.3242026-09-19: 0.3222026-09-20: 0.3222026-09-21: 0.3202026-09-22: 0.3182026-09-23: 0.3182026-09-24: 0.3182026-09-25: 0.3182026-09-26: 0.3182026-09-27: 0.318 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

185 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Basallo, Samuel · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 333 CF 400 RF 318 2026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 44.02026-03-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 14.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.4 / LA -53.02026-03-19 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 10.02026-03-19 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 110.6 / LA 22.02026-03-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 29.02026-03-20 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 21.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 32.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -9.02026-03-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -2.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 36.02026-03-26 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -3.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 1.02026-03-28 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 41.02026-03-29 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 8.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · popup · EV 90.2 / LA 67.02026-03-31 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 46.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 57.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.3 / LA 65.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -34.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.5 / LA 24.02026-04-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.7 / LA 38.02026-04-01 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 0.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -6.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 35.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -8.02026-04-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 37.02026-04-10 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 9.02026-04-10 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA -19.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 38.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball2026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA -25.02026-04-12 · home run · SI · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 21.02026-04-12 · field out · CU · popup · EV 82.9 / LA 68.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 52.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA -4.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 48.4 / LA 8.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 14.02026-04-14 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 34.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 3.02026-04-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA -7.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.7 / LA 62.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -30.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA -5.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.5 / LA -10.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -24.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.9 / LA -62.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 33.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.4 / LA 63.02026-04-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 30.02026-04-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 10.02026-04-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 10.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 53.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 63.2 / LA 18.02026-04-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 15.02026-04-24 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 3.02026-04-24 · home run · FC · line_drive · EV 111.0 / LA 20.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 79.3 / LA 73.02026-04-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 18.02026-04-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.4 / LA 18.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -13.02026-04-26 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 9.02026-04-26 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 37.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA 8.02026-04-28 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 111.4 / LA 11.02026-04-30 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 44.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 61.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 17.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 80.9 / LA 26.02026-05-02 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 12.02026-05-03 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -10.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 44.6 / LA -34.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -7.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 58.02026-05-05 · triple · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.7 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 79.7 / LA 15.02026-05-05 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 111.3 / LA 16.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -33.02026-05-06 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 47.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.4 / LA 5.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 63.02026-05-07 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 12.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 30.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 2.02026-05-08 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 0.02026-05-08 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.5 / LA -6.02026-05-09 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 111.8 / LA 10.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 59.02026-05-09 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 7.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA -9.02026-05-10 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 19.02026-05-12 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 25.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -37.02026-05-12 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 9.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -37.02026-05-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 109.2 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 59.02026-05-17 · field out · SL · popup · EV 90.3 / LA 62.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 13.02026-05-17 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 1.02026-05-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 52.4 / LA -43.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -10.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 55.2 / LA -6.02026-05-20 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 26.02026-05-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 18.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -2.02026-05-22 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 7.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 41.02026-05-24 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 111.3 / LA 11.02026-05-24 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 31.02026-05-25 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -28.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 33.02026-05-26 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 109.7 / LA 22.02026-05-26 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.5 / LA -60.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 110.1 / LA 17.02026-05-31 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 75.0 / LA 20.02026-05-31 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 9.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 16.02026-06-04 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 112.4 / LA 20.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 8.02026-06-05 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -4.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -12.02026-06-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 83.7 / LA 44.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 80.2 / LA 29.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA -36.02026-06-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 86.4 / LA 19.02026-06-20 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 16.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -46.02026-06-24 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 2.02026-06-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 112.5 / LA 22.02026-06-24 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 106.9 / LA 31.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA -3.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 9.02026-06-26 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 16.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 38.02026-06-30 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 8.02026-08-19 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 1.02026-08-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 24.02026-08-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.9 / LA -16.02026-08-21 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 34.02026-08-21 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -13.02026-08-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 34.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.6 / LA -44.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -3.02026-08-26 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.7 / LA -4.02026-08-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 46.6 / LA -32.02026-08-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 27.02026-08-27 · fielders choice out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -15.02026-08-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 35.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -40.02026-08-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 42.7 / LA -85.02026-08-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 58.02026-08-29 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -16.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.3 / LA 71.02026-08-31 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 29.02026-09-01 · field error · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA -1.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 42.02026-09-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 54.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 18.02026-09-02 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 75.0 / LA 19.02026-09-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 4.02026-09-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 53.02026-09-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 40.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 38.02026-09-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -19.02026-09-05 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -5.02026-09-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.6 / LA 6.02026-09-07 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 78.3 / LA 26.02026-09-08 · field out · CU · popup · EV 67.3 / LA 53.02026-09-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 45.1 / LA -49.02026-09-11 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 10.02026-09-11 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 54.02026-09-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 10.02026-09-13 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -7.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.3 / LA 57.02026-09-18 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 56.02026-09-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -12.02026-09-18 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 8.02026-09-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.9 / LA 0.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 44.02026-09-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA -7.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Basallo, Samuel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 43%43%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Basallo, Samuel · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 75.2 mph Hard swing rate 53% Whiff / swing 32% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age22
Height6' 4"
Weight250 lb
Debut2025-08-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.007
wOBA Δ+0.009

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.6σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.334
xwOBA (deserved)0.318

Basallo’s wOBA sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.318 — a gap of 0.016, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 415 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
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Burleson, Alec STL · L 0.73 Ground-ball rateBarrel rate Player · Projection
Burger, Jake TEX · R 0.72 Strikeout rateIsolated power Player · Projection
Canzone, Dominic SEA · L 0.68 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-04-20Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding62026-09-071 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ TB1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, 2 K, RBI
2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 2 RBI / 15 Ch | 0 E2-3 | 2 BB, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-14 vs AZ1 HR | 1 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E2-3 | HR, BB, RBI
2026-04-13 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K