Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 21 |
| Height | 6' 4" |
| Weight | 250 lb |
| Debut | 2025-08-17 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Samuel Basallo
C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 4", 250 lb · Age 21
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 118 | 10 | 18 | 4 | 0 | .165 | .229 | .330 | .559 |
| 2026 | 207 | 26 | 48 | 10 | 0 | .257 | .319 | .476 | .795 |
| 2 Seasons | 325 | 36 | 66 | 14 | 0 | .223 | .286 | .422 | .708 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
90
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.357 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.305
0.326
0.346
0.365
wOBA
0.358
0.378
0.401
0.423
0.444
ISO
0.167
0.188
0.211
0.234
0.255
K%
20.6%
22.8%
25.2%
27.5%
29.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.8%
89
+24 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
94
Hard-hit%49.6%
89
+35 vs proj
xBA0.381
92
xSLG0.696
92
xwOBA0.357
82
+20 vs proj
BB%9.3%
58
+20 vs proj
Bat speed73.0
89
K%25.6%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
31
Catcher Throwing0.6 · C
65
Framing Runs-2.2 · C
14
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
73
Pop Time1.9 · C
68
Range Runs-0.2 · C
60
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.3 · C
8
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.2% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions61.3% · rebadged research
12
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
34
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
35
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.367 · insufficient sample
5
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.376 · validated
15
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
126 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.031 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.076 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Basallo’s wOBA sits at 0.401, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.357 — a gap of 0.044, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 215 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-04-20 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 2 RBI / 15 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2 BB, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 vs AZ1 HR | 1 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | HR, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |