Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 4" |
| Weight | 250 lb |
| Debut | 2025-06-03 |
Player profile / Kansas City Royals
Jac Caglianone
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 250 lb · Age 23
Club Kansas City Royals
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 232 | 19 | 33 | 7 | 1 | .157 | .237 | .295 | .532 |
| 2026 | 349 | 44 | 83 | 15 | 3 | .260 | .321 | .461 | .782 |
| 2 Seasons | 581 | 63 | 116 | 22 | 4 | .219 | .287 | .395 | .682 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
94
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.329 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.357 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.346 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.314
0.329
0.346
0.363
0.378
wOBA
0.316
0.331
0.348
0.365
0.381
ISO
0.161
0.174
0.188
0.201
0.214
K%
23.4%
24.9%
26.5%
28.1%
29.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.9%
90
+16 vs proj
Exit velocity92.9
95
Hard-hit%55.4%
98
+31 vs proj
xBA0.399
96
xSLG0.729
96
xwOBA0.357
87
BB%7.3%
34
Bat speed75.6
99
K%29.6%
16
-33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.9 · RF
94
Arm Strength102.7 · RF
100
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Range Runs-3.2 · RF
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · RF
70
Sprint Speed27.1 · RF
42
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.8% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions66.5% · rebadged research
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.313 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377 · validated
5
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
94
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
146 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.018 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Caglianone’s wOBA sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.357 — a gap of 0.008, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 358 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.73 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Jordan STL · R | 0.63 | Whiff rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Cruz, Oneil PIT · L | 0.60 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Basallo, Samuel BAL · L | 0.59 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-06-23 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs BAL1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 3-3 | 3B, BB |
| 2026-04-12 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, 2 K, R |