Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Wood, James
Impact bat with above-average thump
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
100
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.361 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.405 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.394 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.371
0.381
0.394
0.406
0.417
wOBA
0.377
0.389
0.402
0.415
0.427
ISO
0.201
0.212
0.225
0.237
0.248
K%
26.5%
27.5%
28.7%
29.8%
30.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.1%
99
Exit velocity95.4
100
Hard-hit%58.5%
100
xBA0.416
100
xSLG0.846
100
xwOBA0.405
100
BB%15.9%
99
Bat speed74.0
94
K%29.0%
20
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · RF
23
Arm Strength95.7 · RF
65
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · RF
9
Range Runs-6.7 · RF
7
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · RF
68
Bolts4.0 · RF
39
SB Success Rate88.2% · RF
75
Sprint Speed27.1 · RF
41
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.5% · rebadged research
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
34
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
79
Resists FastballwOBA 0.423 · validated
0
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.352 · borderline
0
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.237 · insufficient sample
100
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.323 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · insufficient sample
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
227 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.038 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
| Sample | 642 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 592 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 23 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.367 | 0.317 to 0.426 | +/- 0.055 |
| ISO | 0.204 | 0.142 to 0.278 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 8.2% | 5.3% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 54.7% | 48.0% to 59.9% | +/- 5.9% |
| K% | 28.3% | 22.7% to 33.5% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 11.5% | 9.9% to 15.7% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.339 | 0.280 to 0.385 | +/- 0.052 |
vs LHP
360 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.279 |
| K% | 22.9% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |
vs RHP
708 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.301 |
| K% | 25.2% |
| BB% | 11.9% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |