Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026

Wood, James

Impact bat with above-average thump

Primary
0.367 xwOBA
Range
0.317 to 0.426
Live Δ
yes
Team WSH Archetype Balanced regular Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
100
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
90
Defense4 metrics
41
Speed4 metrics
62
Plate skills10 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.361
xwOBA current pace0.437
xwOBA rolling p500.413
Observed weight69%
xwOBA
0.387 0.399 0.413 0.427 0.439
wOBA
0.410 0.424 0.439 0.455 0.468
ISO
0.228 0.241 0.256 0.271 0.284
K%
26.1% 27.2% 28.6% 29.9% 31.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.9%
99
Exit velocity95.1
100
Hard-hit%59.6%
99
xBA0.434
100
xSLG0.961
100
xwOBA0.437
100
BB%16.6%
99 +18 vs proj
Bat speed74.0
94
K%28.9%
19
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · RF
71
Arm Strength95.7 · RF
72
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-4.0 · RF
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · RF
79
Bolts4.0 · RF
50
SB Success Rate85.7% · RF
67
Sprint Speed27.5 · RF
53
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.5% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions69.1% · rebadged research
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.353 · borderline
0
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.249 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.322 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.411 · validated
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.405 · validated
2
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Wood, James · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.437 2026-07-05: 0.4202026-07-06: 0.4252026-07-07: 0.4242026-07-08: 0.4292026-07-09: 0.4322026-07-10: 0.4322026-07-11: 0.4322026-07-12: 0.4342026-07-13: 0.4332026-07-14: 0.4372026-07-15: 0.4372026-07-16: 0.437 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

James Wood's tools (86) outpace production (72) by 14 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects. Also flagged: Passive In-Zone Approach.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Passive In-Zone Approach
Pass Attack Pass Attack Attack Attack Pass Attack Pass

Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts

Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Contact-Discipline Mismatch
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

181 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Wood, James · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 24% of plotted batted ballsPull 24%Center field third: 60% of plotted batted ballsCenter 60%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 35.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 6.02026-03-16 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 31.02026-03-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 13.02026-03-16 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 20.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 113.9 / LA 1.02026-03-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -9.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 84.9 / LA 10.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 5.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.0 / LA -20.02026-03-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 111.2 / LA 6.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 41.02026-03-23 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 23.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -28.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -35.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · popup · EV 50.5 / LA 46.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA -32.02026-03-28 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 110.0 / LA 18.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 40.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 31.02026-03-30 · fielders choice · FS · ground_ball · EV 61.4 / LA -47.02026-03-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 11.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 20.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.9 / LA -18.02026-03-31 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -3.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -17.02026-04-01 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -11.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 38.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -20.02026-04-03 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 109.8 / LA 20.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.0 / LA -29.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 38.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 5.02026-04-04 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA -18.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 64.2 / LA -30.02026-04-05 · home run · FO · fly_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 34.02026-04-05 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 1.02026-04-06 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA -10.02026-04-06 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 114.3 / LA 18.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -9.02026-04-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 17.02026-04-07 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 27.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -31.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA 7.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -21.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.7 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 116.0 / LA 6.02026-04-10 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 116.3 / LA 16.02026-04-10 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.3 / LA -4.02026-04-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 16.02026-04-10 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 115.3 / LA 15.02026-04-11 · field error · SV · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -9.02026-04-11 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 111.5 / LA 12.02026-04-12 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 32.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 10.02026-04-13 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.7 / LA -5.02026-04-15 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 39.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 42.02026-04-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -3.02026-04-16 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 75.4 / LA 24.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 37.02026-04-16 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 1.02026-04-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 52.02026-04-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 110.5 / LA 29.02026-04-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 28.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 32.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -19.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA -18.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.1 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 27.02026-04-21 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 114.5 / LA 20.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 53.02026-04-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -32.02026-04-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 112.2 / LA 28.02026-04-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 32.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 22.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 33.02026-04-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 30.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 21.02026-04-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 19.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA -3.02026-04-29 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.3 / LA 0.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.3 / LA 23.02026-04-29 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 114.6 / LA 10.02026-04-30 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 22.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 9.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.7 / LA 0.02026-05-02 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 57.8 / LA -63.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 15.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA 2.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 40.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 34.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -22.02026-05-05 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 111.9 / LA 20.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 30.02026-05-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 84.3 / LA 20.02026-05-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -4.02026-05-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 20.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 14.02026-05-08 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 67.9 / LA -28.02026-05-08 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 34.02026-05-08 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 10.02026-05-09 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 28.02026-05-09 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 35.02026-05-09 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 24.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -16.02026-05-10 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 25.02026-05-10 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.5 / LA -26.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 44.02026-05-12 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 35.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 114.4 / LA 5.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -12.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 44.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 27.02026-05-15 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 4.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.6 / LA 6.02026-05-16 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 56.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 54.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · LA -71.02026-05-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 15.02026-05-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 13.02026-05-18 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 1.02026-05-18 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 18.02026-05-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA -27.02026-05-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 17.02026-05-19 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 10.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -15.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 34.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 44.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA -38.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 57.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 24.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -28.02026-05-21 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 111.7 / LA 21.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 31.02026-05-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -18.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 2.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 113.2 / LA 12.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA -7.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -71.02026-05-25 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 8.02026-05-25 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 17.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 9.02026-05-26 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 109.8 / LA 28.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 111.1 / LA 10.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -41.02026-05-27 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 19.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 24.02026-05-31 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 8.02026-05-31 · home run · FC · line_drive · EV 113.8 / LA 21.02026-06-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA 9.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 24.02026-06-05 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 113.7 / LA 7.02026-06-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 29.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-06-07 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 51.7 / LA 20.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 2.02026-06-15 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 11.02026-06-20 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 20.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 42.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -4.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 106.6 / LA 60.02026-06-20 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 17.02026-06-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 12.02026-06-22 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 5.02026-06-24 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 17.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 41.02026-06-26 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA 16.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 57.02026-06-30 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 17.02026-06-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 6.02026-06-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -64.02026-06-30 · field out · ST · popup · EV 90.0 / LA 71.02026-07-01 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 0.02026-07-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 26.02026-07-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 50.2 / LA 11.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Wood, James · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 76.2 mph Hard swing rate 62% Whiff / swing 30% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Wood, James · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 21%21%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 60%60% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.070
wOBA Δ+0.072
Sample481 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances592----
Home Runs23----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3670.317 to 0.426+/- 0.055
ISO0.2040.142 to 0.278+/- 0.068
Barrel%8.2%5.3% to 10.1%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%54.7%48.0% to 59.9%+/- 5.9%
K%28.3%22.7% to 33.5%+/- 5.4%
BB%11.5%9.9% to 15.7%+/- 2.9%
BABIP0.3390.280 to 0.385+/- 0.052
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

360 career PA

xwOBA0.279
K%22.9%
BB%7.1%
Barrel5.3%
vs RHP

708 career PA

xwOBA0.301
K%25.2%
BB%11.9%
Barrel7.2%