The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 297 PA

Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA 0.74 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSwing length -1.1zSprint speed -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 379 PA 0.69 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Matthews, Brice HOU · R · 241 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityIsolated powerChase rate Oppo rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.62 Sweet-spot rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.3zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 259 PA 0.59 Pull rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.2zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.58 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +2.1zGround-ball rate -1.6zChase rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mayer, Marcelo BOS · L · 248 PA 0.56 Oppo rateSprint speedBarrel rate xwOBA on contact -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 249 PA 0.55 Isolated powerBat speedSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.8zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 304 PA 0.54 Oppo rateWalk rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 431 PA 0.53 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateIsolated power Strikeout rate -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.7zWhiff rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Freeland, Alex LAD · L · 241 PA 0.53 Chase rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.5zSwing length -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 207 PA 0.52 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Chase rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.