Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
House, Brady
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.292 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.320 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.288
0.305
0.321
0.336
wOBA
0.302
0.322
0.345
0.369
0.389
ISO
0.111
0.129
0.148
0.167
0.185
K%
22.6%
24.2%
25.9%
27.7%
29.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
65
+25 vs proj
Exit velocity89.6
65
Hard-hit%45.2%
73
xBA0.363
84
xSLG0.618
80
xwOBA0.320
60
+21 vs proj
BB%7.3%
32
+24 vs proj
Bat speed71.8
79
K%26.9%
25
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 3B
5
Range Runs-3.7 · 3B
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · 3B
68
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.4% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
59
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · borderline
3
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.254 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
69
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
127 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.020 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| Sample | 193 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 339 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.254 to 0.346 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.075 to 0.199 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 1.3% to 6.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.3% | 35.7% to 50.4% | +/- 7.3% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.5% to 29.9% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% | 2.2% to 7.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.255 to 0.346 | +/- 0.046 |
vs LHP
84 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.161 |
| K% | 15.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
202 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.154 |
| K% | 14.9% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |