Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 218 lb |
| Debut | 2013-08-20 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Xander Bogaerts
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 218 lb · Age 33
Club San Diego Padres
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 463 | 50 | 113 | 11 | 13 | .264 | .307 | .381 | .688 |
| 2025 | 552 | 63 | 129 | 11 | 20 | .263 | .328 | .391 | .719 |
| 2026 | 363 | 38 | 71 | 9 | 12 | .224 | .317 | .331 | .648 |
| 14 Seasons | 7432 | 986 | 1893 | 206 | 138 | .284 | .349 | .441 | .790 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.321 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.315 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.317 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.294
0.305
0.317
0.329
0.340
wOBA
0.301
0.315
0.332
0.348
0.363
ISO
0.106
0.118
0.131
0.144
0.156
K%
16.5%
17.5%
18.6%
19.7%
20.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
45
Exit velocity88.5
54
Hard-hit%40.5%
57
+19 vs proj
xBA0.309
34
xSLG0.474
37
xwOBA0.315
58
BB%11.1%
76
+45 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
50
K%19.3%
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
62
Arm Strength85.8 · SS
45
Outs Above Avg7.0 · SS
94
Range Runs5.6 · SS
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · SS
48
SB Success Rate88.9% · SS
74
Sprint Speed27.1 · SS
42
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
75
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
47
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
41
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
194 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.022 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bogaerts’s wOBA sits at 0.332, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.315 — a gap of 0.017, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 379 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Herrera, Iván STL · R | 0.71 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Yelich, Christian MIL · L | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.68 | Whiff rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Butler, Lawrence ATH · L | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-23 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.310 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA1 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 3 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-12 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | 3 BB |