The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bailey, Patrick in signal, the comp in amber.

CLE · bats L · 351 PA

Ranked comps for Bailey, Patrick

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 367 PA 0.76 Bat speedIn-zone contactSprint speed Barrel rate +1.0zChase rate +0.8zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 396 PA 0.75 Isolated powerBarrel rateAvg exit velocity xwOBA on contact -0.9zChase rate -0.8zMax exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.75 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactOppo rate Fly-ball rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9zBarrel rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.74 Walk rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Sprint speed +2.0zStrikeout rate -0.7zMax exit velocity +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
05 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA 0.73 Chase rateWalk rateSwing length Isolated power +1.3zSprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA 0.70 Barrel rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.1zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.67 Chase rateSwing lengthGround-ball rate Sprint speed +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.65 Chase rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.7zOppo rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA 0.65 Sprint speedFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 399 PA 0.62 Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.62 Avg exit velocityOppo rateIn-zone contact Isolated power +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.1zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 717 PA 0.61 Oppo rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.