The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bailey, Patrick in signal, the comp in amber.

CLE · bats L · 207 PA

Ranked comps for Bailey, Patrick

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Freeland, Alex LAD · L · 241 PA 0.67 Oppo rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate Chase rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA 0.61 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Walk rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA 0.60 Chase rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Sprint speed +2.1zOppo rate -1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 374 PA 0.59 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactOppo rate Sprint speed +2.2zChase rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Mayer, Marcelo BOS · L · 248 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerHard-hit rate Swing length +1.7zSprint speed +1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 397 PA 0.58 Swing lengthBarrel rateWalk rate Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA 0.54 Isolated powerChase rateWalk rate Sprint speed +2.5zStrikeout rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.52 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.7zOppo rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 297 PA 0.52 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Chase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA 0.52 In-zone contactGround-ball ratePull rate Strikeout rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA 0.52 Swing lengthPull rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate -2.1zWhiff rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 415 PA 0.50 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Bat speed -1.9zSwing length -1.5zSprint speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.