Mithrandir Metrics
Player Philadelphia Phillies Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies

J. T. Realmuto

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 212 lb · Age 35

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Philadelphia Phillies Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202441350101142.266.322.429.751
202555057129128.257.315.384.699
2026260274873.208.288.346.634
13 Seasons58027231414187107.268.326.442.768
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
48
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
51
Defense4 metrics
75
Speed1 metrics
73
Plate skills10 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.325
xwOBA current pace0.313
xwOBA rolling p500.318
Observed weight55%
xwOBA
0.292 0.305 0.318 0.332 0.344
wOBA
0.280 0.297 0.316 0.335 0.352
ISO
0.117 0.132 0.148 0.164 0.179
K%
20.2% 21.5% 22.9% 24.4% 25.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.3%
24 -40 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
63
Hard-hit%39.3%
51 -16 vs proj
xBA0.320
49
xSLG0.494
44
xwOBA0.313
57
BB%7.7%
39 +17 vs proj
Bat speed71.5
75
K%20.7%
61 +20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
62
Catcher Throwing1.7 · C
89
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
49
Pop Time1.9 · C
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · C
73
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.6% · rebadged research
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.5% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
19
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.321 · validated
98
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Realmuto, J.t. · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.313 2026-07-06: 0.3172026-07-07: 0.3172026-07-08: 0.3142026-07-09: 0.3112026-07-10: 0.3112026-07-11: 0.3092026-07-12: 0.3092026-07-13: 0.3082026-07-14: 0.3132026-07-15: 0.3132026-07-16: 0.3132026-07-17: 0.313 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

130 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Realmuto, J.t. · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 329 CF 401 RF 330 2026-03-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 23.02026-03-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 20.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 58.6 / LA -27.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.8 / LA -34.02026-03-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 7.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 17.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 6.02026-03-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 6.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 11.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -15.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 20.02026-03-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 34.02026-03-31 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -10.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -33.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 45.02026-04-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 28.02026-04-01 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 0.02026-04-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 76.6 / LA 18.02026-04-03 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 51.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 52.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 49.7 / LA -58.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 17.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -26.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 48.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -9.02026-04-06 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -23.02026-04-06 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 14.02026-04-10 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -4.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 9.02026-04-10 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 15.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA 10.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 38.02026-04-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 14.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 56.8 / LA -77.02026-04-13 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 39.02026-04-13 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 15.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 10.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -1.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 32.02026-04-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -61.02026-04-15 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 30.02026-04-17 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -5.02026-04-17 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 58.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 22.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 57.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 37.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 55.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.5 / LA -50.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -9.02026-04-21 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 1.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -14.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 41.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 7.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.5 / LA 47.02026-05-03 · sac fly · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 41.02026-05-03 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -5.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 36.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -26.02026-05-05 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -10.02026-05-05 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 20.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 11.02026-05-06 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 68.1 / LA 28.02026-05-06 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -8.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 25.02026-05-08 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 36.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 53.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -47.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA 5.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 38.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 22.02026-05-09 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 9.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 29.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 16.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -40.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 60.02026-05-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 53.0 / LA -56.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -59.02026-05-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -15.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 27.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -13.02026-05-14 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 10.02026-05-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 41.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 44.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -70.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA -22.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -2.02026-05-17 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 13.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 39.02026-05-18 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 6.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 34.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -21.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -1.02026-05-22 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA -15.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 3.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 10.02026-05-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 9.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 20.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 3.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.6 / LA 71.02026-05-26 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 34.02026-05-26 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.4 / LA 58.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · popup · EV 87.3 / LA 84.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.2 / LA 1.02026-05-27 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 15.02026-06-04 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 2.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 4.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -12.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 11.02026-06-15 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 24.02026-06-15 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -40.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -50.02026-06-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 8.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 14.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 67.02026-06-20 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 17.02026-06-20 · double · CU · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -2.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -19.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 42.02026-06-24 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 30.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 6.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 48.1 / LA -20.02026-06-26 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 75.1 / LA 33.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -12.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -3.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.6 / LA 72.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Realmuto, J.t. · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 0"
Weight212 lb
Debut2014-06-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.012
wOBA Δ-0.009

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.316
xwOBA (deserved)0.313

Realmuto’s wOBA sits at 0.316, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.313 — a gap of 0.003, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 271 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-07-16Swing decisions lagged behind the production line
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.326 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E2-4
2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E0-2 | K
2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E2-4 | R
2026-04-13 vs CHC0 HR | 3 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E3-5 | 3 RBI