The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bogaerts, Xander in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats R · 379 PA
Ranked comps for Bogaerts, Xander
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 431 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Pull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.0zSprint speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 297 PA | 0.69 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.68 | Whiff rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Bat speed +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 220 PA | 0.62 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateBat speed | Strikeout rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA | 0.62 | Whiff rateBarrel ratePull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Mayer, Marcelo BOS · L · 248 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Pull rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.2zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA | 0.59 | Sprint speedBat speedGround-ball rate | Pull rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 229 PA | 0.58 | Chase rateWhiff rateGround-ball rate | Walk rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA | 0.58 | Sweet-spot rateWalk rateChase rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zPull rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.