The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bogaerts, Xander in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 619 PA

Ranked comps for Bogaerts, Xander

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 717 PA 0.75 Barrel rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Chase rate +0.8zSweet-spot rate +0.8zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.70 Whiff rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Bat speed +1.4zOppo rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.64 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.0zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 547 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 516 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateChase rateSprint speed Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.60 Sprint speedBat speedGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 524 PA 0.60 Bat speedWalk rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.8zSwing length -1.5zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 521 PA 0.58 Whiff rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zIsolated power +1.2zBat speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.57 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Isolated power +1.7zChase rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.57 Whiff rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +2.1zGround-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 619 PA 0.56 Max exit velocityBarrel ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.5zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.